Only a few more months are left before India’s most important state, politically speaking, enters into the elections for its assembly. Currently, BJP holds the fort at 315 seats (BJP 306 seats; ADS 9 seats) from 403 electoral constituencies. The party also has 64 of UP’s 80 Lok Sabha seats. Most psychologists expected that the coalition between SP and BSP would limit the saffron party in some way, but this didn’t happen. The question is whether the BJP will retain its hold in a political environment that might not replicate 2019’s. The state might see two large Opposition parties compete independently, fragmenting antiBJP voter turnout.
It seems like the election will go in one direction, with SP occupying a distant second and the BJP continuing to hold the pole. Although reports of personality clashes within the BJP and infighting have been reported recently, it’s not clear how well perceptions match reality. Time will only tell if they are true. One thing is clearer than others. Despite dissatisfaction expressed by several state MLAs, MPs, and Deputy CM Keshav Prasad Maurya’s reluctance to accept the sitting CM to represent the party for 2022, Yogi Amityanath seems to be the only alternative for the BJP. It is easy to see how Adityanath has come to identify with the party and its image in the market.
The main opposition force, the Samajwadi Party (or Samajwadi Party), has shown no zeal or intention to fight the incumbent Yogi Amityanath-led BJP government. It seems convinced that it will win an anti-incumbency wave without any ground activity. This includes issues like Covid mismanagement and non-availability vaccine slots (especially for the 18 to 45 age group), repeated instances and attempts to quell dissent and skyrocketing fuel prices and cooking oils, as well as falling GDP and declining employment levels. Akhilesh Yadav (ex-CM, SP national president) has retreated to social media platforms to voice his outrage. It could be complacency over a sure win, or it could be that they feel satisfied beyond all doubt that 2022 is not possible, regardless of how hard they tried.
Uttar Pradesh State Assembly Election Schedule
|Last Date for filing nomination||TBD|
|Scrutiny of nomination||TBD|
|Last Date for Withdrawal of nomination||TBD|
|Date of Poll||TBD|
|Date of Counting of Votes||TBD|
Uttar Pradesh State Assembly Election Opinion polls
Uttar Pradesh State Assembly Election Opinion polls will be added as soon as we receive any data.
Uttar Pradesh State Assembly Election Exit polls
Uttar Pradesh State Assembly Election Exit polls will be added as soon as we receive any data.
Uttar Pradesh State Assembly Election Result
Uttar Pradesh State Assembly Election Result will be added once it get announced.